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How the new Morningstar Ratings for mutual funds have been determined since mid-2002
Category : Mutual Fund Rating Services - Morningstar Star Ratings
How the new Morningstar Ratings for mutual funds have been determined since mid-2002
Summary: As of June 30, 2002,
Morningstar, Inc. began to use significantly revised methods to define
its star
ratings for mutual funds. This article summarizes
Morningstar’s new Morningstar
Rating* methods as defined in its publications.
Morningstar used the following
summarized procedures to
define its “new” stars beginning in July 2002. This summary was prepared by The
Skilled Investor. Please
refer to Morningstar, Inc. for their definitive and updated materials.1
- Mutual funds are
segregated into 48 different categories (e.g. large growth, small
blend, specialty real estate, convertibles, Pacific/Asia, government
long-term bonds, muni short-term, etc.) Mutual funds are compared
within categories. Morningstar stated that “...the relative
star ratings of two funds should be affected more by manager skill than
by market circumstances or events that lie beyond the fund
manager’s control. Accordingly, the new Morningstar Rating
calculation is based on fund categories.”2
- Fund categories
are determined by:
- types of fund
portfolio investments
- whether a single
benchmark could validly compare performance
- a determination
that funds in the same category could be substitutes for portfolio
construction
- the
fund’s style profile
- If a fund
shifted its style or category over time, Morningstar performed a
category weighting procedure.
- Morningstar’s
measurement of the total returns of each mutual fund’s
monthly returns are adjusted for the following factors:
- Dividends and
other distributions are assumed to be reinvested.
- If a fund had
front- and/or back-end loads, adjustments are made to amortize loads
over the period of measurement.
- [TSI
Commentary: Loaded and no-load funds are grouped together for star
rating purposes. This is very important to note, because the scientific
investment literature indicates that luck rather than skill in
securities selection is more likely to account for any performance
differences between funds of similar styles. Random fluctuations in the
portfolio performance of some loaded funds can be large enough to
offset Morningstar’s load handicap, and loaded funds can get
high star ratings. Because the stars do not seem to predict superior
future performance, an investor who is induced by a paid broker or
advisor to pay a load for a fund with high star rating is more likely
to be disappointed and obtain less than optimal results.
- Because mutual
funds’ reported Net Asset Values already subtract out
periodic management expenses or fees, no further return adjustments are
necessary.
- Star ratings
reflect pretax mutual fund returns. The only tax-related exception is
for municipal bond mutual funds. Morningstar adjusts muni fund returns
to reflect the municipal bond tax advantage.
- Mutual fund risk
is modeled using an individual investor economic expected utility
model. For purposes of defining its stars, Morningstar sets this risk
model to reflect what it believes would be the average risk preferences
of typical risk-averse retail investors. Morningstar calls their risk
adjusted return measure, the “Morningstar Risk-Adjusted
Return” or MRAR. Morningstar states that “the
theoretical foundation (of the MRAR) is acceptable to sophisticated
investors and investment analysts.”3
Morningstar also argues that its star rating risk adjustments are
preferable to alternative measures of risk-adjusted return, such as the
Sharpe Ratio, because the star rating system is more intuitive to
retail investors.4
- [TSI Commentary:
Just because an investment indicator seems to be more intuitive does
not make it better. Some good news about the new rating system is that
now the risk model embedded in the stars is closer to risk indicators
used in the scientific investment literature. Before, Morningstar had
used a proprietary procedure, which made it more difficult to evaluate
the meaning of the stars. (See: The quality of the “old” Morningstar Ratings prior to mid-2002)]
- For any particular
period, mutual fund return and risk are combined into a single blended
MRAR score for each mutual fund. Annualized averages are calculated for
3-, 5- and 10-year periods based upon the most recent 36, 60, and 120
months of data for those periods, respectively. The risk measure is
subtracted from the return measure to derive the MRAR. Star ratings are
not assigned to any mutual fund with less than 36 months of returns.
- All mutual funds
within a particular category are then rank ordered for each of the 3-,
5-, and 10-year time periods, and a star rating is calculated. For each
of these rating periods, stars are allocated as follows:
- 10% receive 5
stars
- 22.5% receive 4
stars
- 35% receive 3
stars
- 22.5% receive 2
stars
- 10% receive 1
star.
- For funds with
between 36 and 59 months of data, a 3-year MRAR is calculated and a
star rating is assigned according to the distribution percentages
above. Morningstar uses the most recent 36 months of data, and data
greater than 36 months old is ignored.
- For funds with
between 60 and 119 months of data, a 5-year MRAR is calculated and a
star rating is assigned according to the distribution percentages
above. Morningstar uses the most recent 60 months of data, and data
greater than 60 months old is ignored.
- [TSI Commentary:
Note that a 5-year rating simply means that two more years of older
data are used when available. An investor needs to decide whether this
older data is helpful. “Superior” performance data
from the more distant past could mask poorer recent performance.]
- For funds with 120
or more months of data, a 10-year MRAR is calculated and a star rating
is assigned according to the distribution percentages above.
Morningstar uses the most recent 120 months of data, and data greater
than 120 months old is ignored.
- [TSI Commentary:
Note that a 10-year rating simply means that five more years of older
data are used when available. An investor needs to decide whether this
older data is helpful. “Superior” performance data
from the distant past could mask poorer recent performance.]
- In addition to its
3-, 5- and 10-year star ratings, Morningstar also calculates an
“overall” weighted average star rating according to
the following rules:
- For funds with
between 36 and 59 months of data, the 3-year star rating is used.
- For funds with
between 60 and 119 months of data, a weighted average of the 3-year and
5-year star ratings is calculated. Morningstar weights the 3-year
rating at 40% and the 5-year rating at 60%.
- [TSI
Commentary: For example, a mutual fund with a 3-year 1 star rating and
a 5-year 5 star rating would receive a 3 star combined overall rating.
[ (1 x .4) + (5 x .6) = 3.4, which is rounded down to the nearest
integer or 3, thus yielding a 3 star rating.]
- This illustrates why investors would want to be
more careful when comparing Morningstar star ratings across funds, when
different periods are involved. Since fund ages vary, this is always
something
that an investor should keep in mind.]
- For funds with
between 120 or more months of data, a weighted average of the 3-year,
5-year, and 10-year star ratings is calculated. Morningstar weights the
3-year rating at 20%, the 5-year rating at 30%, and the 10-year rating
at 50%.
- [TSI
Commentary: A mutual fund with a 3-year 1 star rating, a 5-year 5 star
rating, and a 10-year 5 star rating would receive a 4 star combined
overall rating. [ (1 x .2) + (5 x .3) + (5 x .5) = 4.2, which is
rounded down to the nearest integer or 4, thus yielding a 4 star
rating.]
- This case illustrates why investors might want to be
more careful when comparing Morningstar star ratings across funds, when
different periods are involved.]
- [TSI Commentary:
Note that data can be double and triple counted in the development of
the overall star index for mutual funds with at least 5 or 10 years of
data.
- For the
overall star calculation for funds with at least 5 years of data the
most recent 36 months of data are involved in the calculation of both
the 3-year and the 5-year star rating. Therefore, in the combined star
rating, the actual “data weighting” rounded to the
nearest percent for the most recent 36 months is 71% and the weighting
for months 37 to 60 is 29%.
- For the
overall star calculation for funds with at least 10 years of data the
most recent 36 months of data are involved and thus triple-counted in
the calculation of the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year star ratings. Months
37 to 60 are double counted in the 5-year and 10-year star ratings.
Therefore, in the combined star rating the actual “data
weighting” rounded to the nearest percent for the most recent
36 months is 42%. The weighting for prior months 37 to 60 is 23%, and
the weighting for prior months 61 to 120 is 35%.]
Also, see these related rating service articles on Morningstar:
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