Choose the broadest available whole market diversification
Another risk reduction objective should be to achieve the broadest possible securities market diversification within your overall portfolio holdings. Whenever several low cost investment funds are available, I suggest choosing the fund with the broadest market coverage. This reflects a preference for owning the entire market. Such funds are often named “whole market,” “total market,” or “multi-cap” funds.
Funds that invest in company size-based subsets of the market are usually known as “large-cap” versus “mid-cap” versus “small-cap” stock mutual funds or stock ETFs. Overall, it is important to hold all different sized equities roughly in proportion to the market capitalizations of these company size groupings.
The investment research literature indicates that investors in funds with portfolios that are skewed by company size will experience greater volatility. Over time, as demand shifts from large-to-small or small-to-large capitalization companies, these portfolio are more variable compared to the returns of the overall market.
Thirty years ago, research indicated that small capitalization stocks delivered excess returns that were disproportionately high even in comparison to the presumably greater risks of smaller firms. Research that is more recent suggests that this argument is much less conclusive today.
In addition, there are also many more mid-cap and small-cap investment funds, and vastly more assets are deployed to exploit this supposed small-cap company investment advantage. Such is the nature of investing. Apparent advantages often disappear as more assets move in to exploit suspected advantages.
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A customer comment from the sidebar: "VeriPlan has been a very flexible home financial planning tool. It took me a few hours on a weekend to understand what VeriPlan could do and to enter our financial data. Our family financial affairs were scattered all over, and we lacked a comprehensive picture of what the future might hold for us. I wanted a clear understanding of our projected lifetime and retirement income, expenses, taxes, debts, real estate, financial assets, college investments, retirement investments, and everything else all together." S. L. in Altadena, CA
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A customer comment from the sidebar: "You have done a great job of including the necessary instructions in VeriPlan, located close to where the modeling is happening. The thing I like about the VeriPlan User Guide is that it adds substantial additional commentary that I personally find very valuable. I was hunting for a capable and reasonably priced financial planning package, and VeriPlan is an awesome tool. The more I play around with it, the more valuable I find it. Your free user guide was what made me decide to get VeriPlan." C. A. in North Royalton, OH
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A customer comment from the sidebar: "One of the stories that VeriPlan tells me is how much of my money could be lost to excessive investment costs. I just switched to some lower cost funds in my 401k. I loved updating VeriPlan with the new cost values just to see the red bar on the Total Assets chart get significantly thinner - quite a shocking difference." M. W. in Tulsa, OK
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A customer comment from the sidebar: "I am extremely impressed with the depth of information that VeriPlan asks for and provides. VeriPlan seems much more detailed than one would expect for the very reasonable price. Although I am not a financial professional, I consider myself more financially educated than the most people of my age (62). I find that VeriPlan's depth to be just what we need for our retirement planning. I am glad I purchased it. Thanks." J. W. in Gainsville, FL
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A customer comment from the sidebar: "I have been very happy with this software. I will put VeriPlan to work to help optimize our IRA to Roth conversions, while avoiding the IRMAA penalties if we can. We are in an opportunistic window for the next several years. I have been appalled by the lack of professional knowledge available with respect to the tax burden that will fall upon us when RMDs take effect. Most of the information I have found suggests that it isn't a problem. Luckily, this software will be of great benefit to chart our course." J. S. in Louisville, KY
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A customer comment from the sidebar: "I am a recently retired engineer, and I created a cash flow Excel spreadsheet for 25 years of retirement. So, I fully appreciate the data and potential variances that must be accounted for. Yet, mine is so very simple compared to VeriPlan. I love VeriPlan's concept of total control over inputs and parameters. Veriplan's objectives are very much like mine, but it has many, many more input and control options, and the price is spot on." L. G. in Southbridge, VA
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A customer comment from the sidebar: "I've been using VeriPlan for a few weeks now, and it is everything I was looking for plus a whole lot more of what I didn't even know I needed. By simply switching VeriPlan to a state that does not have a state income tax, I can see how much I could save on traditional IRA distributions in retirement by moving to a state without income taxes. It is a real education in personal finance, and I think just about everyone would benefit from using this tool." T. H. in Silicon Valley CA
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Other more hidden problems might arise, when investing in company size-based market subsets rather than in the overall stock market. Some stock market indexes are mechanically defined, and changes in the list of company constituents of an index may be anticipated. As companies are added or are withdrawn from the company size sub-indexes, some market participants may attempt to profit by anticipate these sub-index changes and by accumulating long and short trading positions in advance.
When company size-based benchmark indexes change, the index funds that track those benchmark indexes must buy or sell to reflect these changes in their portfolio holdings. Changes in demand for particular stocks can create a potential advantage to traders who have anticipated these changes. This “front-running” could be detrimental to the performance of these company size-based index investment funds. Note, however, that adjustments have been made in the past decade to make this type of index change front-running much more difficult for traders.
Whether or not this is a potential problem when one chooses funds based on sub-indexes of the market that are skewed by company size, it is not a problem when one invests in index funds that span the entire market. When an investor holds low cost, passively managed index investment funds that represent all sizes of companies, it will not matter if individual stock prices change somewhat as companies are added or subtracted within subsets of the overall market.
Price fluctuations due to sub-index membership changes will be neutralized overall. The total market index investor holds all the stocks, including those that might increase modestly in value by being added to a sub-index and those that might decline slightly in value by being removed from a sub-index. By owning the whole market, these potential hidden cost problems related to redefining sub-indexes just disappear.
A customer comment from the sidebar: "VeriPlan's financial projection graphics simply lay out what the future might hold for my family. Also, VeriPlan is a very fast and automated financial investment calculator that allows me to change anything and to test alternate investment decisions rapidly. Its integrated documentation explains clearly how it works, and it also includes a wealth of well-researched personal finance and investment information that has been very helpful." T. F. in Muncie, IN
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A customer comment from the sidebar: "I do most of my own financial modeling, and I like the way VeriPlan generates “what if” scenarios that I like to compare, such as possibly buying a rental property, selling my house and renting, moving social security retirement age payment timing, and pulling out IRA money after taxes. Plus, I like VeriPlan for its automated projection of detailed investment costs. Thanks for making a great product." K. W. in Naperville, IL
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A customer comment from the sidebar: "I am 10 years out from retirement, and I needed to start thinking more seriously about having enough to retire on. I'm following the suggestions of you and others in opting for more hands-on retirement planning. I am also using lower cost index investing. There are too many wealth management companies out there, all ready to charge an arm and leg for what should be straightforward financial planning work." G. B. in Smith Mountain Lake, VA
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A customer comment from the sidebar: "Larry, Hello again! I've continued to work with VeriPlan, and the more I work with it the more I'm amazed at how much it does. It's an incredible decision support tool for my financial planning. Since I have already built a model of my lifetime finances, it is easy to test new ideas as they come to me. Thanks again." M. W. R. in Austin, TX
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A customer comment from the sidebar: "I first learned about the zero federal taxes on long term capital gains when under the 25% marginal income tax rate from working with VeriPlan a number of years ago. I’m no longer working but not yet receiving RMD’s or social security so my ordinary income is relatively low. So I’ve been taking full advantage of zero federal capital gains taxes by selling off my high expense ratio mutual funds which have a lot of capital gains built in since I’ve held them a long time and then I reinvest them in index mutual funds which don’t generate as much capital gains distributions. So the education that you and VeriPlan provide has saved me thousands in taxes, not to mention the expenses on high cost mutual funds. Thanks again." M. D. in El Paso, TX
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