The Problem – Straight answers about personal financial planning and investment management are difficult to find
In this article, The Skilled Investor summarizes some of the significant problems faced by ordinary individuals, when they attempt to plan their family finances. This is the first in a series of articles that will provide scientifically grounded decision rules that address these problems. Sign up for an RSS feed in the right hand column to stay tuned.
Even if they are intent upon doing better with their personal financial planning, many people are confused and frustrated about how to approach personal finance and investment planning.
To rise above the confusion, you must have a durable and scientifically grounded understanding of personal financial planning and investment management.
Very often, people do not have access to disinterested and reasonably priced advice and information. Financial advisors are expensive, whether or not you pay them directly. No advisor can work without compensation. If you do not pay your advisor directly, then the industry will. When the industry pays your advisor, your best interests may quickly fly out the window.
A customer comment from the sidebar: "VeriPlan is a big help. I'm in my mid 50's and have been a diligent saver and passable investor for many years. I am going through a work transition from salaried corporate employee to independent consultant, and my aging parents are needing financial help. Financial planning is particularly important to me and my family now. Thanks for making your product available. I've recommended it to a number of folks and will continue to do so." J.H. in Portland, OR
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A customer comment from the sidebar: "VeriPlan has been a very flexible home financial planning tool. It took me a few hours on a weekend to understand what VeriPlan could do and to enter our financial data. Our family financial affairs were scattered all over, and we lacked a comprehensive picture of what the future might hold for us. I wanted a clear understanding of our projected lifetime and retirement income, expenses, taxes, debts, real estate, financial assets, college investments, retirement investments, and everything else all together." S. L. in Altadena, CA
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A customer comment from the sidebar: "You have done a great job of including the necessary instructions in VeriPlan, located close to where the modeling is happening. The thing I like about the VeriPlan User Guide is that it adds substantial additional commentary that I personally find very valuable. I was hunting for a capable and reasonably priced financial planning package, and VeriPlan is an awesome tool. The more I play around with it, the more valuable I find it. Your free user guide was what made me decide to get VeriPlan." C. A. in North Royalton, OH
Financial Planning Software for Individuals
A customer comment from the sidebar: "One of the stories that VeriPlan tells me is how much of my money could be lost to excessive investment costs. I just switched to some lower cost funds in my 401k. I loved updating VeriPlan with the new cost values just to see the red bar on the Total Assets chart get significantly thinner - quite a shocking difference." M. W. in Tulsa, OK
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A customer comment from the sidebar: "I am extremely impressed with the depth of information that VeriPlan asks for and provides. VeriPlan seems much more detailed than one would expect for the very reasonable price. Although I am not a financial professional, I consider myself more financially educated than the most people of my age (62). I find that VeriPlan's depth to be just what we need for our retirement planning. I am glad I purchased it. Thanks." J. W. in Gainsville, FL
Financial Planning Software for Consumers
A customer comment from the sidebar: "I have been very happy with this software. I will put VeriPlan to work to help optimize our IRA to Roth conversions, while avoiding the IRMAA penalties if we can. We are in an opportunistic window for the next several years. I have been appalled by the lack of professional knowledge available with respect to the tax burden that will fall upon us when RMDs take effect. Most of the information I have found suggests that it isn't a problem. Luckily, this software will be of great benefit to chart our course." J. S. in Louisville, KY
Family Financial Planning Software
A customer comment from the sidebar: "I am a recently retired engineer, and I created a cash flow Excel spreadsheet for 25 years of retirement. So, I fully appreciate the data and potential variances that must be accounted for. Yet, mine is so very simple compared to VeriPlan. I love VeriPlan's concept of total control over inputs and parameters. Veriplan's objectives are very much like mine, but it has many, many more input and control options, and the price is spot on." L. G. in Southbridge, VA
Family Financial Planning Software for Consumers
A customer comment from the sidebar: "I've been using VeriPlan for a few weeks now, and it is everything I was looking for plus a whole lot more of what I didn't even know I needed. By simply switching VeriPlan to a state that does not have a state income tax, I can see how much I could save on traditional IRA distributions in retirement by moving to a state without income taxes. It is a real education in personal finance, and I think just about everyone would benefit from using this tool." T. H. in Silicon Valley CA
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Most competent financial advisors prefer to focus their attention on the wealthy who can more easily afford their services.
People of more modest means often receive inferior ‘free’ services. Many find that these free financial planning services quickly focus on the sale of expensive and often inappropriate financial products.
An endless stream of books and articles flows with contradictory recommendations on ways to ‘beat-the-market.’ The various financial media chatter on and on about daily minutia regarding one company after another, but they provide little useful synthesis.
On-line financial information rarely has enough depth to be very helpful. Free on-line tools provided to individuals tend to be simple and superficial one-size-fits-all calculators. They are designed primarily to funnel ‘retail’ sales prospects into a website purchasing process. These tools provide little real insight for individuals who are trying to decide what to do for the long-term.
A customer comment from the sidebar: "VeriPlan's financial projection graphics simply lay out what the future might hold for my family. Also, VeriPlan is a very fast and automated financial investment calculator that allows me to change anything and to test alternate investment decisions rapidly. Its integrated documentation explains clearly how it works, and it also includes a wealth of well-researched personal finance and investment information that has been very helpful." T. F. in Muncie, IN
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A customer comment from the sidebar: "I do most of my own financial modeling, and I like the way VeriPlan generates “what if” scenarios that I like to compare, such as possibly buying a rental property, selling my house and renting, moving social security retirement age payment timing, and pulling out IRA money after taxes. Plus, I like VeriPlan for its automated projection of detailed investment costs. Thanks for making a great product." K. W. in Naperville, IL
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A customer comment from the sidebar: "I am 10 years out from retirement, and I needed to start thinking more seriously about having enough to retire on. I'm following the suggestions of you and others in opting for more hands-on retirement planning. I am also using lower cost index investing. There are too many wealth management companies out there, all ready to charge an arm and leg for what should be straightforward financial planning work." G. B. in Smith Mountain Lake, VA
Financial Planning Software for Individuals
A customer comment from the sidebar: "Larry, Hello again! I've continued to work with VeriPlan, and the more I work with it the more I'm amazed at how much it does. It's an incredible decision support tool for my financial planning. Since I have already built a model of my lifetime finances, it is easy to test new ideas as they come to me. Thanks again." M. W. R. in Austin, TX
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A customer comment from the sidebar: "I first learned about the zero federal taxes on long term capital gains when under the 25% marginal income tax rate from working with VeriPlan a number of years ago. I’m no longer working but not yet receiving RMD’s or social security so my ordinary income is relatively low. So I’ve been taking full advantage of zero federal capital gains taxes by selling off my high expense ratio mutual funds which have a lot of capital gains built in since I’ve held them a long time and then I reinvest them in index mutual funds which don’t generate as much capital gains distributions. So the education that you and VeriPlan provide has saved me thousands in taxes, not to mention the expenses on high cost mutual funds. Thanks again." M. D. in El Paso, TX
Family Financial Planning Software for Consumers
When individual investors attempt to make sensible decisions about purchasing financial and investment products and services, the potential for confusion is astonishing.
Uncertainties about investment value and risk give rise to substantial ongoing securities price volatility and sometimes to extreme outcomes. Any consumer product characterized by such great uncertainty and such wide fluctuations in potential value must necessarily cause substantial buyer confusion.
Current securities prices reflect the market’s fluctuating auction consensus about potential asset values in an inherently unknowable future. Nobody really knows anything about what will actually happen to asset values in the future. Many individuals are so caught up in the pursuit of superior returns that they do not stop to think about the true auction nature of public securities markets. Instead of being trapped in continuing ego games of personal investment triumph, they should think far more about protecting their wallets. (See: How investment securities are valued — snapshots in time and The confusing investment securities market motion picture)
In many respects, the financial services industry is among the most competitive in the world. Yet, when it comes to delivering advantageous, cost-effective products for individual investors, let the buyer be extremely aware.
The vast spectrum of retail financial products and services ranges from excellent to abysmal. Asset price volatility and misinformation allow inferior products to flourish along with those that objectively are better.
A customer comment from the sidebar: "I am a recently retired engineer, and I created a cash flow Excel spreadsheet for 25 years of retirement. So, I fully appreciate the data and potential variances that must be accounted for. Yet, mine is so very simple compared to VeriPlan. I love VeriPlan's concept of total control over inputs and parameters. Veriplan's objectives are very much like mine, but it has many, many more input and control options, and the price is spot on." L. G. in Southbridge, VA
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A customer comment from the sidebar: "Thanks for developing a great product. I have looked at Money Tree, Money Guide Pro, and some other FP software, and I have used Right Capital (a good product also, but still $100 per month). Yours is just as robust for a much more affordable price. I also extensively use Quicken for my finances, but the planning tool in it is kind of basic, so VeriPlan will complement Quicken very well." E. Z. in San Mateo, CA
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A customer comment from the sidebar: "I spent parts of the past several days entering data into the VeriPlan workbook while digesting as much of the methodology as possible. My takeaway is that VeriPlan is an extraordinary tool, especially in its ability to generate projections based on detailed alternate scenarios. During the learning process, I also found it to be a wonderful financial education in its own right." S. N. in Sammamish, WA
Financial Planning Software for Individuals
A customer comment from the sidebar: "Previously I used some consumer retirement planners like New Retirement. What they offer is a projection of your financial situation that is wildly generalized. A generalized projection is probably better than having no projection at all and could very well be used for rough, long-term planning. However, for fine grained planning, such a system is wholly inadequate. VeriPlan is vastly superior in comprehensiveness and flexibility." T. D. in Edison, NJ
Family Financial Planning Software
A customer comment from the sidebar: "I purchased VeriPlan for the Roth conversion features. I enjoy VeriPlan and appreciate the thoroughness of the design and excellent commentary. I now work for (financial company name redacted) since retiring from (computer company name redacted) in a Retirement and Workplace Planning role. The accuracy, conciseness, and utility of the information presented by VeriPlan is great." M. S. in White Plains, NY
Family Financial Planning Software for Home Use
A customer comment from the sidebar: "I've been using VeriPlan for a few weeks now, and it is everything I was looking for plus a whole lot more of what I didn't even know I needed. By simply switching VeriPlan to a state that does not have a state income tax, I can see how much I could save on traditional IRA distributions in retirement by moving to a state without income taxes. It is a real education in personal finance, and I think just about everyone would benefit from using this tool. I am going to tell everyone I know about VeriPlan. Thank you very much for creating it. Your web sites are great, too." T. H. in Silicon Valley CA
Financial Planning and Retirement Software for Home Use
A customer comment from the sidebar: "I thought I would let you know that VeriPlan was the primary decision support tool in my decision to retire early, which was about 4 years ago now. And it has worked out really well. Since then I got married, and we have traveled to 10 countries -- some on mission trips. I had used the lifetime planners in Microsoft Money and Quicken but they were not robust enough to make a major decision with. In retrospect they are toys compared to VeriPlan. So VeriPlan has been a very big help to me. Also, I recently read your Lowest Cost Mutual Funds book, which was great. It brought a few things to my attention that I need to work on." Email update from T. H. in Silicon Valley
Family Financial Planning and Retirement Software
The industry does not train its people to tell you what is best for you. It trains them to be persuasive and to sell to you what is profitable to them as quickly as possible. Most information provided by the financial industry is self-serving and is designed largely to ease this sales process.
Because realized investment portfolio values will be known only in the often very distant future, individual investors can hear both good and bad advice, and they may have no way to tell one from the other.
Unfortunately, investments do not have warranties. If your financial plan and your investment portfolio fall short in the future, all you will have is an empty wallet, when it may be far too late for you to recover.
Directly or through insinuation, the “we are superior†mantra of the financial services industry has been never-ending. Securities price volatility permits the false appearance of skill among industry practitioners, when most lack superior skills. Claims of superiority are based predominantly on the selective marketing of investment products that happened to have done better than average historically. Other products with inferior performance from the same organization are forgotten conveniently, or they are relegated to small print in a footnote. (See: How Morningstar Ratings for mutual funds are used as a marketing tool)
Because financial product quality is so highly variable, individuals simply cannot objectively determine which financial counselors are or are not expert and honest.
It is difficult to find another industry where ignorance, self-interest, and double-speak are so prevalent. Is it any wonder that millions of people are confused and frustrated about personal finance and investing? (See: Why only one Warren Buffett? — The illusion of superior professional investment manager performance)
As a result, many people are very distrustful of the financial industry. A 2002 U.S. public opinion survey of trust in various industries indicated that distrust of the financial services industry is deep and widespread. This Golin/Harris survey of 700 Americans found that the average industry had a -20% rating on an opinion scale of -100% to +100%. The “Brokerage/Wall Street†(-58%) and “Insurance†(-59%) industries ranked near the bottom of all industries in terms of public trust, with only the “Oil & Gas†(-63%) industry scoring lower. (See: How can individual investors trust, when so much information about investing is rubbish?)
With this rough and tumble world that you face when you try to do reasonable personal financial and investment planning, you are much better off with a well-considered viewpoint. A stable and scientifically grounded set of beliefs can keep you focused and on track throughout your life. It can help you to ignore all the rubbish that seems to come with this territory.
“The Solution – Only follow financial and investment strategies that are scientific, passive, diversified, savings focused, risk controlled, low cost, and tax efficient.” In a series of articles, The Skilled Investor will detail these strategies and discuss related rules for improving your personal financial practices. Sign up for an RSS feed in the right hand column to stay tuned.
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